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PolyWeather

PolyWeather tracks weather prediction markets, publishes research picks, and logs every settled result after it resolves. Research only — not financial advice.

Yesterday's settlement

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?

The desk took NO @ 0.639 in Taipei. The market settled YES.

On 2026-09-24, the desk took NO at 0.639 on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24? (Taipei). The market settled YES; the daily high reached 89.6°F at RCSS per Weather Underground. Net −1.018 per $1 staked.

Nothing to publish today — the live quote moved out of the entry window. Here's what we got wrong yesterday so you can read the track record cold.

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